Beat the Press

Beat the press por Dean Baker

Beat the Press is Dean Baker's commentary on economic reporting. He is a Senior Economist at the Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR). To never miss a post, subscribe to a weekly email roundup of Beat the Press. Please also consider supporting the blog on Patreon.

Even if there is no reduction in demand as shown in our seasonally adjusted data, there should be some reduction in pressure on our supply chains. We'll see how much of the backlog this will clear up.
Even if there is no reduction in demand as shown in our seasonally adjusted data, there should be some reduction in pressure on our supply chains. We'll see how much of the backlog this will clear up.
It would be incredibly irresponsible for the Fed to slam on the brakes, and throw millions of people out of work, to head off inflation associated with a clogged supply chain.
It would be incredibly irresponsible for the Fed to slam on the brakes, and throw millions of people out of work, to head off inflation associated with a clogged supply chain.
While the massive upward redistribution of income from our trade deals was sold on the principle of “free trade,” it has nothing to do with actual free trade.
While the massive upward redistribution of income from our trade deals was sold on the principle of “free trade,” it has nothing to do with actual free trade.
As it now stands President Biden has created 6,215,000 jobs in his first eleven months in the White House, compared to a loss of 2,876,000 jobs in the four years of Donald Trump’s presidency.
As it now stands President Biden has created 6,215,000 jobs in his first eleven months in the White House, compared to a loss of 2,876,000 jobs in the four years of Donald Trump’s presidency.
A few things about what the world might look like if we didn’t rig the market to give all the money to rich people.
A few things about what the world might look like if we didn’t rig the market to give all the money to rich people.
The better answer lies in downsizing Facebook so that what Mark Zuckerberg, or any billionaire wants, doesn’t matter so much. Taking away its Section 230 protection is an effective route to accomplish this goal.
The better answer lies in downsizing Facebook so that what Mark Zuckerberg, or any billionaire wants, doesn’t matter so much. Taking away its Section 230 protection is an effective route to accomplish this goal.

We Temporarily Interrupt this Blog

Hi everyone, this is Dean’s colleague Dawn, CEPR’s Development Director. I am hijacking Dean’s blog as I do on occasion to make sure you saw this post I wrote about Dean’s work on vaccines and intellectual property and to point out why that work is worthy of your support.

I was thinking as I began to write this post that I have worked with Dean for over 13 years now (a record in my profession, and a testament to CEPR’s positive work environment and respect for its employees). Anyhow (as Dean wound say) it struck me that just as his 2002 prediction that a growing housing bubble would wreck the economy proved to be true, his work showing that unfair patent and copyright protections lead to economic inequality and poor health outcomes has also proven to be true, with deadly consequences thanks to the Covid 19 pandemic. As regular readers of this blog, I know that you are aware of Dean’s prolific writings on this topic. He’s been saying these things for years, and people are now finally starting to listen.

Dean warned that the collapse of the housing bubble would bring economic pain. Now, he is ramping up his call for policy change that will both level the economic playing field and save lives around the world. I know that BTP readers are some of CEPR’s staunchest financial supporters and we thank you. But if you haven’t already given, please consider making a donation to CEPR today so that we can amplify Dean’s message. We’ve had some success, but thanks to the money and power of those patent protectors, we unfortunately still have a long way to go.

Again, thanks to all of you for supporting Beat the Press over the years. Now back to your regularly scheduled program. And remember, don’t believe everything you read in the papers.

Hi everyone, this is Dean’s colleague Dawn, CEPR’s Development Director. I am hijacking Dean’s blog as I do on occasion to make sure you saw this post I wrote about Dean’s work on vaccines and intellectual property and to point out why that work is worthy of your support.

I was thinking as I began to write this post that I have worked with Dean for over 13 years now (a record in my profession, and a testament to CEPR’s positive work environment and respect for its employees). Anyhow (as Dean wound say) it struck me that just as his 2002 prediction that a growing housing bubble would wreck the economy proved to be true, his work showing that unfair patent and copyright protections lead to economic inequality and poor health outcomes has also proven to be true, with deadly consequences thanks to the Covid 19 pandemic. As regular readers of this blog, I know that you are aware of Dean’s prolific writings on this topic. He’s been saying these things for years, and people are now finally starting to listen.

Dean warned that the collapse of the housing bubble would bring economic pain. Now, he is ramping up his call for policy change that will both level the economic playing field and save lives around the world. I know that BTP readers are some of CEPR’s staunchest financial supporters and we thank you. But if you haven’t already given, please consider making a donation to CEPR today so that we can amplify Dean’s message. We’ve had some success, but thanks to the money and power of those patent protectors, we unfortunately still have a long way to go.

Again, thanks to all of you for supporting Beat the Press over the years. Now back to your regularly scheduled program. And remember, don’t believe everything you read in the papers.

We are still seeing no real debate as to whether we want to rely on these monopolies as a primary mechanism for financing medical innovation in the future.
We are still seeing no real debate as to whether we want to rely on these monopolies as a primary mechanism for financing medical innovation in the future.
My preference for the tax credit system is both that it applies to a much broader range of material than just news, and that I think it would be far easier to implement and enforce.
My preference for the tax credit system is both that it applies to a much broader range of material than just news, and that I think it would be far easier to implement and enforce.

The Washington Post had an interesting piece that looked at the lives of several people who quit low-paying jobs in a restaurant in Arkansas since the pandemic began. There are three interesting points that come out of this story.

The first is the headline item (actually, subhead) that although the quitters’ mental health improved, their finances were not necessarily better after they left their jobs. There is an obvious point here that people should recognize. It is unlikely that, even in a good labor market, people who leave near minimum wage jobs will suddenly find themselves flush with money.

If someone is earning $10 an hour, even a 20 percent increase (in excess of inflation) only gets them to $12 an hour. That sort of increase likely means a big difference in their standard of living, but still leaves them far short of a comfortable middle-class existence. In some cases, the modest gains from the tighter labor market may give them the ability to get additional education or training that will let them enter a higher paying occupation, but we shouldn’t expect that a tight labor market alone will mean that workers in the lowest paying jobs are now financially secure.

There is an important qualification to the stories of the people discussed in this article. The piece starts with the early days of the pandemic when the restaurant was losing business due to the shutdowns. In 2020, we did not have a tight labor market. Instead, we had very high unemployment.

It has only been in the last half-year that we could say that workers were getting the upper hand and had their choice of jobs. The picture for these workers might look qualitatively better if they were quitting jobs today, and the labor market remains tight.

The second point is that the article portrays the restaurant owners as very sympathetic people. The restaurant is owned by a young couple who are pursuing a dream. They work hard alongside their staff, struggling to keep the restaurant open. While some of the former employees (the restaurant closed) may disagree with the article’s portrayal, the reality is that many low-wage employers are not assholes. They are struggling to make a business work, and that can mean that they can’t afford to pay decent wages to their workers. Of course, this story does not apply to the Walmarts and the McDonalds of the world.

The third point is that the restaurant closed. This means that no one is working there. That is the story of how whatever labor “shortage” we are now seeing gets resolved. Businesses that cannot afford to pay workers the prevailing wage go out of business. In many cases, this may not be pretty. Business owners, like the couple in this story, see their dreams shattered. But that is the way a market economy works.

When uncompetitive businesses shut down, their workers look for employment elsewhere. This process will bring the demand and the supply of workers more into balance. The closing of the restaurant described in the Post article is part of this story.    

The Washington Post had an interesting piece that looked at the lives of several people who quit low-paying jobs in a restaurant in Arkansas since the pandemic began. There are three interesting points that come out of this story.

The first is the headline item (actually, subhead) that although the quitters’ mental health improved, their finances were not necessarily better after they left their jobs. There is an obvious point here that people should recognize. It is unlikely that, even in a good labor market, people who leave near minimum wage jobs will suddenly find themselves flush with money.

If someone is earning $10 an hour, even a 20 percent increase (in excess of inflation) only gets them to $12 an hour. That sort of increase likely means a big difference in their standard of living, but still leaves them far short of a comfortable middle-class existence. In some cases, the modest gains from the tighter labor market may give them the ability to get additional education or training that will let them enter a higher paying occupation, but we shouldn’t expect that a tight labor market alone will mean that workers in the lowest paying jobs are now financially secure.

There is an important qualification to the stories of the people discussed in this article. The piece starts with the early days of the pandemic when the restaurant was losing business due to the shutdowns. In 2020, we did not have a tight labor market. Instead, we had very high unemployment.

It has only been in the last half-year that we could say that workers were getting the upper hand and had their choice of jobs. The picture for these workers might look qualitatively better if they were quitting jobs today, and the labor market remains tight.

The second point is that the article portrays the restaurant owners as very sympathetic people. The restaurant is owned by a young couple who are pursuing a dream. They work hard alongside their staff, struggling to keep the restaurant open. While some of the former employees (the restaurant closed) may disagree with the article’s portrayal, the reality is that many low-wage employers are not assholes. They are struggling to make a business work, and that can mean that they can’t afford to pay decent wages to their workers. Of course, this story does not apply to the Walmarts and the McDonalds of the world.

The third point is that the restaurant closed. This means that no one is working there. That is the story of how whatever labor “shortage” we are now seeing gets resolved. Businesses that cannot afford to pay workers the prevailing wage go out of business. In many cases, this may not be pretty. Business owners, like the couple in this story, see their dreams shattered. But that is the way a market economy works.

When uncompetitive businesses shut down, their workers look for employment elsewhere. This process will bring the demand and the supply of workers more into balance. The closing of the restaurant described in the Post article is part of this story.    

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